The much-hyped self-driving Google Car may have reached the end of the road, with its technology boss Chris Urmson, who led the project for seven years, resigning at the beginning of August.
The departure comes amid a move from Google to team up with the automotive industry, rather than challenge it, in the race for autonomy.
Read the latest on Google's Waymo self-driving cars project here
According to a note sent out by auto analysts at investment bank Evercore ISI, the Google car project was clearly in trouble. “The Google driverless project is likely not as advanced as many believe,” it said.
Speaking at Austin’s Southby-Southwest conference earlier this year about the timing of the project, Urmson said: “How quickly can we get this into people’s hands? If you read the papers, you see maybe it’s three years, maybe it’s 30 years. And I am here to tell you that honestly, it’s a bit of both.”
Perhaps one of the reasons for Urmson’s exit was the Google Car project’s philosophical U-turn performed last September, with the hiring of ex-Hyundai US boss John Krafcik as CEO of the Google self-driving project. Google has also just signed a deal with Fiat-Chrysler to build autonomous prototypes based on the company’s Chrysler Pacifica MPV, all of which suggests that any idea that Google would put its own self-driving cars into production now looks increasingly unlikely.
Perhaps such a tie-up with the car industry was inevitable. Despite the time spent on testing and development, the Google self-driving cars had covered a relatively modest 1.7m miles as of this summer. In stark contrast, Tesla claimed that, by May this year, drivers of its cars had clocked up 100 million miles with the Autopilot function engaged. While this is nowhere near the same as the intended full autonomy of the Google cars, it shows the huge disadvantage of trying to jump straight to a fully autonomous car from experimental vehicles.
Furthermore, not only do the Google cars have a selfimposed 25mph top speed, it took until 2011 for fully autonomous testing on public roads to become legal in the US, when Nevada changed its local laws. California — Google’s home state — didn’t change the law until this year. It is still only legal in four states.
However, California’s regulations contained one crucial clause, which could well have sunk the Google Car for good. Under Article 3.7, paragraph 227.18 of the order, it states: “A manufacturer shall not permit any of its autonomous vehicles to be operated on public roads in California when the operator is not seated in the driver’s seat and either monitoring its operations and able to take over physical control of the vehicle, or in physical control of the vehicle.”
The requirement for autonomous vehicles to have a conventional steering wheel and brake pedals was a major setback for a stand-alone Google car. It’s understood that Urmson was involved in political lobbying to try to get this clause rescinded. His departure makes this unlikely, especially as major car manufacturers are already testing conventional cars fitted with autonomous tech, such as Audi’s Audi A5 and Audi A7 prototypes.
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Going south of the river
These cars wouldn't be independent, control would simply be passed from the occupants to the authorities.
The idea of getting into my car and having it refuse to go where I want to go because I don't have authorization to go there is anathema to me, and I cannot understand why people seem to be so content to relinquish that freedom. A world of fully autonomous cars would be more than halfway to the Big Brother totalitarian state that the lefties dream of instigating.
That concept sickens me, but I am equally appalled that people are complacently and passively waiting for it to happen.
can it remember to pay car tax
Makes sense
I think the next generation of vehicles will be partly autonomous, with companies like Google providing enormous software input in a vehicle that still looks and feels like a current car and is built by current car companies.
Trying to jump from nothing to fully-autonomous driving is too big a stretch technically and legally. I don't think public acceptance is likely to be a huge issue – if the technology is affordable then people will come at it in droves. Luddites may bemoan robocars but everyone else would happily enjoy a far more relaxed and efficient morning commute. But getting there is proving to be a bigger challenge than the big promoters like Google and Tesla expected.
The Tesla Autopilot system could be replicated by other big manufacturers, as it uses the same hardware already used for adaptive cruise controls, speed limit detectors, AEB and parking sensors all hooked up to the satnav. However, if you drive a Tesla with Autopilot in the UK, you will quickly realise that it struggles with poor road markings, lanes that vary in width, roundabouts, cars that constantly want to jump in front of you because it leaves a larger-than-normal gap in traffic, etc. You end up turning the system on and off constantly because it keeps veering towards the verge if there are no lines for it to monitor.